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Brazil Telecommunications Report
The Brazil Telecommunications Report
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Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast for Brazil .
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Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for Brazil 's telecommunications industry.
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Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies in Brazil .
The Brazil Telecommunications Report Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end- ; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering leading multinational handset manufacturers and equipment vendors, domestic fixed-line and mobile operators, and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments.
Business Monitor International's Brazil Telecommunications Report Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecommunications industry in Brazil.
Key Benefits of Report
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Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast for Brazil to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Brazilian telecommunications market.
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Target Business Opportunities & Risks in Brazil 's Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Brazil .
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Exploit Latest Competitive Brazilian Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Coverage
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.
Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country’s business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI’s political and economic risk ratings.
BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end- for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
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Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
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Cellular Telephony - Phone (News - Alert) Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
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Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.
Executive Summary
The awaited change to the Plan for Concessions and Licences (Plan Geral de Outorgas, PGO) was approved by the regulator Anatel in mid October, and was signed by President Lula at the end of November. The change will enable Oi’s acquisition of Brasil Telecom (News - Alert) to go ahead, after the former bought a majority stake in the company in April. As the operators have concessions for two different regions – Oi in Region I and Brasil Telecom in Region II – the joined company will have control of 25 of the country’s 26 states as well as the largest share of fixed-line and broadband customers in the country by far. Anatel had requested that the changed PGO include conditions for the eventual separation of fixed-line and broadband services but this was not included in the final version signed by President Lula. The altered PGO opens up the possibility of future mergers of operators with concessions in different areas potentially reducing competition in the Brazilian telecoms market.
The merger of the two companies will have little impact on the mobile market. The main competition remains between Vivo, Claro (News - Alert) and TIM all internationally owned operators with strong financial backing. The aggressive nature of the mobile market has seen growth in 2008 outpace that seen in 2007 before the year has even ended. This strong growth has been driven in part by the rivalry between Claro and TIM for second place in the market, with Claro finally taking the number two spot in Q308. The operators are also putting pressure on market leader Vivo, which continues to lose market share despite adding 4mn subscribers through its acquisition of Telemig Celular in April 2008. After these operators there are a handful of smaller regional companies competing in some markets, including newcomer Aieou in São Paulo. How long these smaller operators will last, faced with increasingly intense competition and larger operators seemingly on the lookout for acquisition prospects (judging by the merger and acquisition (M&A) activity seen in 2008) is yet to be seen.
While the market’s growth continues, the regulator has introduced number portability (NP) in order to boost competition in the mobile and fixed-line markets. This is being rolled out across the country over six months and will end in the first week of March 2009 with NP becoming available in the largest cities in the country. A further boost to competition would come through the licencing of reseller services, enabling mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) to enter the market. BMI would welcome the introcution of these operators enabling a focus on lower income subscribers and further increasing competition in the market.
Meanwhile, broadband growth has been slightly slower than we had expected leading to a marginal downgrading of our forecasts. However two operators have passed 2mn subscribers and the two remaining major operators could easily reach that point by the end of 2008, meaning we are bullish for future growth in the market.
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